1

My Kid's Said No

2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 91

Belmont Park · Race 10 - Futurity Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

34%

Place Prob

28%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 5f Fas 12015/05C6C5 @ Assiniboia Downs 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 90 · 5f 120 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 90 par5/08C5OR 90projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Assiniboia Downs?1st6th−4
2026-05-15Gulfstream?1st8th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/055/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
05/08/20261st1/499%100%+0.01