1

My Kid's Said No
2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Futurity Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -4.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Assiniboia Downs | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |