9
Pinpoint
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 78
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Futurity Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲5
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 12th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |