2
Regent's Park
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 73
Belmont Park · Race 10 - Futurity Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: -3.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 26/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +14.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |