8
And The Runner Is
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Pilgrim Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 9th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -42.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 83% | -0.14 |