9
Berta's Stitch
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Pilgrim Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -5.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 14th | −6 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 9-12 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |