10
High Official
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 10 · OR 66
Belmont Park · Race 11 - Pilgrim Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲3
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -76.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |