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2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 12 · OR 88

Belmont Park · Race 11 - Pilgrim Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲4
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: -3.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 18/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f 12318/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 58 · 1m110y 123 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 58 par16/08C6OR 58C0 @ Woodbine 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 74 par12/09C?OR 74projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Woodbine?5th5th+0
2026-08-16Saratoga?1st8th−6
2026-07-18Saratoga?6th13th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0716/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20266th20/10%0%0.00
16/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
12/09/20265th20/10%43%+0.43