6

Night Sky

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 84

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12314/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 85 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 85 par4/09C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-08-14Saratoga?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -83.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20262nd14/126%83%+0.57
04/09/20265th7/282%56%-0.26