2

Chief Ball

2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 39

Belmont Park · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 11912/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 52 · 1m Fm 119 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 52 par6/09C6OR 52projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?11th11th0
2026-07-12Colonial Downs?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength18%

Delivery trend +9.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20269th33/10%0%0.00
06/09/202611th50/10%9%+0.09