12
Harbaugh
2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 12 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +32.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |