1

White Star

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 67

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12314/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 67 par30/08C6OR 67projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-08-14Saratoga?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +65.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20266th14/126%17%-0.10
30/08/20265th40/10%56%+0.56