4
Almighty One
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Matron Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
| 2026-05-26 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 9th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 02/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |