5
Medinah
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Matron Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |