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2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 91

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Matron Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▲3

Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C3.6

Today:

Class gap: -3.0

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-26	Saratoga	?	5th	10th	−4	1.0
2026-06-17	Royal Ascot	1	19th	19th	+0	1.0
2026-04-24	Keeneland	?	1st	8th	−5	2.5

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 77/100

▼ SLIPPING

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -40.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
24/04/2026	1st	8/1	58%	100%	+0.42
17/06/2026	19th	10/1	47%	31%	-0.17
26/08/2026	5th	10/3	82%	43%	-0.40