6

Side Quest

2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 84

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Matron Stakes - Grade 3 · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -4.9
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f Fas 11921/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 77 par23/07C6OR 77C5 @ Saratoga 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 86 par26/08C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Saratoga?6th11th−4
2026-07-23Saratoga?1st8th−5
2026-06-21Churchill Downs?4th11th−5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0623/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -24.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20264th11/486%73%-0.13
23/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
26/08/20266th15/890%29%-0.62