3
Quibbler
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 86
Belmont Park · Race 7 - Miss Grillo Stakes - Grade 2 · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -40.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |