2
Raku
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 91
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Champagne Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |