5

U. S. S. Valor

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 103

Belmont Park · Race 8 - Champagne Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

3/5

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f110y 1238/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 7f 123 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 90 par5/09C6OR 90
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Saratoga?1st8th−6
2026-08-08Saratoga?3rd10th−6

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
05/09/20261st5/696%100%+0.04