3
Girls Wear Pearls
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 80
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Frizette Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | ? | 1st | 8th | −6 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 12th | −6 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 10th | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 29/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +21.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |