11
Hotesse Nay
9yo Mare · 9-2
Cabourg · Prix De Brecey - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-09 | La Gacilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Amiens | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-25 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 10/03/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 17/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 01/07/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 09/03/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |