1
Instant Du Bois
8yo Gelding · 9-2
Cabourg · Prix De Brecey - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-04 | Chartres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 08/01/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |