12
Iziaslav Tek
8yo Gelding · 8-13
Cabourg · Prix De Brecey - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 7/4 | 91% | 27% | -0.64 |
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 11/06/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 9% | -0.59 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |