10
Izzie D'eronville
8yo Mare · 9-4
Cabourg · Prix De Brecey - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Nantes | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 6 | 17th | 18th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.00 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 19/09/2026 | 17th | 200/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 25/09/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |