9
Macha D'occagnes
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cernay - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength3%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |