4
Madison Kat
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cernay - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-20 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 2-16 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -45.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |