2

Madrague Gali
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cernay - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#15
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +16.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |