11
Malaga De Marzy
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cernay - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength90%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |