16
Mayakoba
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cernay - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-13 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +8.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |