8
Mayflower Dulonray
4yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Cernay - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#16
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-28 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 19/08/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 13/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |