14

Maharadjah Royal
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Folligny - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
81%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 16/12/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 87% | +0.71 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |