13
Metalo De Play
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Folligny - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Chartres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 3-16 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 24/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |