1
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4yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Folligny - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | 4 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 4-16 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 30/01/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 09/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 23/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/03/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 23/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 12/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 21/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |