10
Lady Fairy
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 88/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 30/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.59 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |