15

Lara Maks

5yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#5

Rank

Odds

70/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Laval 26/06/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Caen 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Enghien 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 014/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 22/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 022/07C?5 @ Argentan 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f219y Std 05 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/095projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes512th12th0
2026-08-08Argentan57th7th0
2026-07-22Enghien?11th11th0
2025-11-30Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-11-14Vincennes?10th10th0
2025-10-08Enghien?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/068/1022/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/202513th12/137%14%-0.23
22/07/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
20/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
08/10/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
14/11/202510th9/153%25%-0.28
30/11/202511th40/10%17%+0.17
22/07/202611th66/10%23%+0.23
08/08/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
11/09/202612th125/10%27%+0.27