15

Lara Maks
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#5
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/11/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 30/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/07/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |