13
Licence Castelets
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-26 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength98%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2024 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 27/11/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 26/12/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.41 |
| 03/01/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |