5
Lily Peel
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-07 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-11-24 | Reims | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 16-16 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -43.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |