3
Lizzy Venesi
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-04 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-29 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-28 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Vire | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-13 | Mauquenchy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 15-16 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -17.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 02/03/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/05/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.08 |
| 19/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2025 | 9th | 11/8 | 93% | 47% | -0.46 |