16
Loubiana Du Bourg
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 28/01/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |