12
Luciola De Lou
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix De Boissey - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Nantes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.35 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |