1
Ideal Four
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'isigny-sur-mer - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#14
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Graignes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 2-12 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 29/03/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 10/06/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/08/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/12/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 02/02/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 09/02/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/02/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |