12
Ipso D'avignere
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'isigny-sur-mer - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 54% | -0.30 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 27/09/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |