11
Iris Renardier
8yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'isigny-sur-mer - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | La Capelle | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/07/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 53% | -0.32 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/08/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |