9
Kaiser Turgot
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'isigny-sur-mer - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Amiens | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength24%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/06/2026 | 12th | 3/1 | 84% | 21% | -0.63 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.09 |