16
Klassica Bleue
6yo Mare · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix D'isigny-sur-mer - Attele · 1m 5f 147y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 82/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 53% | +0.11 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |