2
Lagos
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |