9
Larabello De Lou
5yo Gelding · 10-1
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#6
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength27%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Chartres | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 34/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/02/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/06/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 27/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 31/10/2025 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.39 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |