4
Le Tango Du Renard
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#11
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 16/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |