14

Legacy Fafa
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#7
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-12 | Saint-Malo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Pornichet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-03 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-12 | Amiens | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 2-2 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |