6
Leu Des Bois
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Nantes | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Saint-Malo | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2024 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 25/05/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |