1
Lior De Sassy
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Cabourg · Prix Des Pelicans - Monte · 1m 5f 147y
#13
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼6
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-08 | Chateaubriant | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-19 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-31 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 63/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2024 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 24/06/2024 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/07/2024 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 09/08/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/10/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 31/05/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 17/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |